SPC Day Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0243 PM CDT Sun Apr 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS... ...Southern New Mexico into far west Texas... A lingering mid-level jet atop a very dry, well-mixed boundary layer will result in west-southwest surface winds of 15-25 mph in addition to single digit relative humidity across southern New Mexico into far western Texas Monday afternoon. These conditions amid ERC values at or exceeding the 97th percentile supports the addition of Critical highlights. ...Southeastern Colorado... Enhanced downslope winds and drying will support at least an Elevated fire weather threat across southeastern Colorado through early afternoon where the fuels seasonal green-up has been delayed. Expect west-southwest surface winds of 15-20 mph and localized single digit relative humidity through early afternoon before a dry cold front arrives overnight. ..Williams.. 04/27/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0358 AM CDT Sun Apr 27 2025/ ...Synopsis... A lingering mid-level trough over the western U.S. (and its associated southwest flow), along with deep boundary layer mixing, will result in at least Elevated fire-weather conditions across portions of central and eastern New Mexico on Monday. ...Central and Eastern New Mexico... With receptive fuels (ERCs exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles) and dry, windy conditions across much of central and eastern New Mexico, at least Elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. 00Z HREF guidance suggests that there is potential for Critical conditions, particularly across central New Mexico, but there is enough ensemble spread in the HREF to preclude adding highlights at this time. While the dry and windy conditions are likely to occur further east into the Texas Panhandle, recent wetting rainfall over the last several days should limit fire danger. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0243 PM CDT Sun Apr 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS... ...Southern New Mexico into far west Texas... A lingering mid-level jet atop a very dry, well-mixed boundary layer will result in west-southwest surface winds of 15-25 mph in addition to single digit relative humidity across southern New Mexico into far western Texas Monday afternoon. These conditions amid ERC values at or exceeding the 97th percentile supports the addition of Critical highlights. ...Southeastern Colorado... Enhanced downslope winds and drying will support at least an Elevated fire weather threat across southeastern Colorado through early afternoon where the fuels seasonal green-up has been delayed. Expect west-southwest surface winds of 15-20 mph and localized single digit relative humidity through early afternoon before a dry cold front arrives overnight. ..Williams.. 04/27/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0358 AM CDT Sun Apr 27 2025/ ...Synopsis... A lingering mid-level trough over the western U.S. (and its associated southwest flow), along with deep boundary layer mixing, will result in at least Elevated fire-weather conditions across portions of central and eastern New Mexico on Monday. ...Central and Eastern New Mexico... With receptive fuels (ERCs exceeding the 80th-90th annual percentiles) and dry, windy conditions across much of central and eastern New Mexico, at least Elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. 00Z HREF guidance suggests that there is potential for Critical conditions, particularly across central New Mexico, but there is enough ensemble spread in the HREF to preclude adding highlights at this time. While the dry and windy conditions are likely to occur further east into the Texas Panhandle, recent wetting rainfall over the last several days should limit fire danger. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
3:45 pmApril 27, 2025