SPC Day Fire Weather Outlook
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0458 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z A potent upper trough is expected to translate east-northeastward from the Desert Southwest into the Northern Plains from Day 3/Friday through Day 6/Monday. Intensifying mid-level flow over ahead of the trough over a dry boundary layer will present a multi-day fire weather threat across portions of the Southwest and adjacent High Plains where anticipated precipitation will be limited over existing dry fuels. ...Southwest and Southern Great Basin... Increasing southwest winds associated with a eastward progressing upper-level trough will couple with low daytime relative humidity to generate several days of Elevated to potentially Critical fire weather conditions across portions of eastern Arizona, New Mexico and adjacent High Plains, where dry fuels remain or are expected to develop. The strongest wind and dry air mass alignment, coinciding with the arrival of the mid-level jet max, will be on Day 5/Sunday across portions of southern and central New Mexico where a 70 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions were introduced. Model guidance depicts the eastward progression of the upper-trough and subsequent lee surface trough ejection into the Northern Plains by Day 6/Monday. However, forecast uncertainty exists with spatial distribution of southern High Plains convective precipitation which could tame fuel receptiveness to spread across the area. ...Florida... A very dry fuelscape remains across the Florida Panhandle. A cold front descending into the Southeast by early next week with greater probabilities of wetting rains across northern Florida. Continued east-southeast winds along with dry fuels could present at least an Elevated fire weather threat across the southern half of Florida through the forecast period. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/23/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
6:03 pmApril 23, 2025